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When most labor was agricultural, people generally toiled in the fields unti

游客2024-09-27  58
问题     When most labor was agricultural, people generally toiled in the fields until they dropped. The idea of formal retirement did not become feasible until work moved from farms to factories. In 1889 Otto von Bismarck famously introduced the world’s first pension scheme in Germany. In the 20th century, when universal suffrage became widespread, a period of retirement after work was seen as a mark of a civilized social democracy.
    After the second world war pension provision increased markedly, but the number of elderly people was still quite small. In the 1970s and 1980s caring for them seemed easily affordable. Many countries even reduced their retirement ages.
    The demographic picture looks different now that the baby-boomers are starting to retire. Europe and Japan are facing the biggest problems. The average dependency ratio in the European Union is already down to 3.5, and is heading for 1. 8 by 2050. Japan is on track for a startling 1.2. Since the average pensioner currently draws a total of about 60% of median earnings, from government and private sources, the system is likely to become unaffordable.
    There are ways of reducing the burden. The current generation of workers could save more now. If they put more money into funded pension schemes, the extra saving might encourage more investment and thus boost economic growth. A wealthier society would find it easier to afford paying pensions. Countries with PAYG schemes could raise taxes now, reducing the deficit and thus the debt burden on the younger generations.
    But more savings or higher taxation now would require those currently at work to defer consumption. They may not be willing to do so. And given the weakness of developed economies in the wake of the financial crisis, governments may not want to see consumption go down in the immediate future.
    In the OECD public spending on pensions benefits has been growing faster than national output, rising from 6. 1% of GDP in 1990 to 7% in 2007. It is forecast to reach 11.4% of GDP by 2050. Those forecasts already take into account the planned rise in retirement ages and a likely drop in replacement ratios and thus assume that voters will approve of pension reform even as the baby-boomers become a potentially powerful voting block of retired people.
    But that assumption may not be safe. Turnout in elections tends to be higher among the elderly than among the young. As Neil Howe and Richard Jackson of the Centre for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, DC, have written: " In the 2020s young people in developed countries will have the future on their side. Elders will have the votes on theirs. [br] The purpose of the passage is to tell us that
选项 A、too much money has to be paid for pension.
B、watch your wallets against the baby-boomers.
C、the baby-boomers are beginning to retire.
D、retirement ages will approved to be raised.
答案 A
解析 主旨题。本文首段由Otto von Bismarck的养老金制度引出养老金这一主题。接下来的两段分别介绍过去和现在的养老金资金情况。第四段和第五段指出如何解决养老金资金缺口这一问题。第六段提到世界经济与合作组织对于养老金问题提出的解决方案，末段就该方案发表看法。可见全文围绕的主旨是养老金短缺问题，故[A]为答案。第五段提到延缓消费的问题，但这是文章的部分细节，非主旨，[B]中的watch your wallets可以概括该段内容，但against the baby—boomers无从谈起，排除；第三段提到婴儿潮时期出生的人开始大量退休，这只是文章部分内容，排除[C]；[D]是倒数第二段的预测报告中提到的内容，非全文主旨。
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