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  3. George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-four was far more prescient than any person

George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-four was far more prescient than any person

游客2025-05-03  12
问题     George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-four was far more prescient than any person who grew up in the middle decades of the 20th century. It was centered on the very special technology (information technology, as we call it now) that would in fact emerge and shape the world over the next two generations. The centerof the success of the vast totalitarian empire was called the telescreen, a wall-sized panel display that could simultaneously send and receive images from each individual household to a hovering Big Brother. The telescreen was what permitted the vast centralization of social lift, for it allowed the government to banish privacy by motoring every word and deed over a massive network of wires.
    With at least a half century separating us from the publication of the book, we can see that while the technological predications he made were startling accurate, but the political predications were entirely wrong. As Peter Huber has argued, the personal computer, linked to the Internet, was in fact the realization of Orwell’s telescreen. But it hasn’t an instrument of centralization of access to information and the decentralization of politics.
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答案     乔治?奥威尔的《1984》这本书的预见性远远超过了任何一个生活在20世纪中叶的人所具有的认识程度。该书以将会经历两代人，并且会实际改变世界的特殊技术(即现在我们所称的“信息技术”)为核心内容。浩大的极权帝国成功的核心被称作荧光屏。它是一面墙大小的平面的荧光屏，可以同时在每个家庭和“老大哥”接发图像。荧光屏是社会进步的集中反应，因为政府可以通过巨大的网络来监视人们的言行，从而消除了隐私。
    这本书自出版到现在至少半个世纪了，我们可以看出他对技术所作预测的准确性相当惊人，但政治性预言却完全错了。正如彼德?休伯所说，与因特网相连的个人电脑，其实就是奥威尔书中所提的荧光屏。但是它并没有成为信息集中工具和政治分散工具。
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