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2050 and Immortality Is Within Our Grasp Aeroplanes will be

游客2024-12-16  24
问题                 2050 and Immortality Is Within Our Grasp
    Aeroplanes will be too afraid to crash, yoghurts will wish you good morning before being eaten and human consciousness will be stored on supercomputers, promising immortality for all. These fantastic claims are not made by a science fiction writer or a crystal ball gazing madman. They are the deadly earnest predictions of Ian Pearson, head of the futurology unit at BT.
    "If you draw the timelines, realistically by 2050 we would expect to be able to download your mind into a machine, so when you die it’s not a major career problem," Pearson told The Observer. "If you’re rich enough then by 2050 it’s feasible. If you’re poor you’ll probably have to wait until 2075 or 2080 when it’s routine. We are very serious about it. That’s how fast this technology is moving: 45 years is a hell of a long time in IT."
    The world’s fastest computer, IBM’s Blue Gene, can perform 70. 72 trillion calculations per second and is accelerating all the time. But anyone who believes in the uniqueness of consciousness or the soul will find Pearson’s next suggestion hard to swallow. "We’re already looking at how you might structure a computer that could possibly become conscious. There are quite a lot of us now who believe it’s entirely feasible."
    In the shorter term, Pearson identifies the next phase of progress as " ambient intelligence": chips with everything. He explained: "For example, if you have a pollen count sensor in your car you take some antihistamine before you get out. Chips will come small enough that you can start impregnating them into the skin. We’re talking about video tattoos as very, very thin sheets of polymer that you just literally stick on to the skin and they stay there for several days. You could even build in cellphones and connect it to the network, use it as a video phone and download videos or receive emails."
    The next age, he predicts, will be that of "simplicity" in around 2013-2015. This is where the IT has actually become mature enough that people will be able to drive it without having to go on a training course. "Forget this notion that you have to have one single chip in the computer which does everything. Why not just get a stack of little self-organizing chips in a box and they’ll hook up and do it themselves. It won’t be able to get any viruses because most of the operating system will be stored in hardware which the hackers can’t write to. If your machine starts going wrong, you just push a button and it’s reset to the factory setting."
    Pearson’s third age is "virtual worlds" in around 2020. "We will spend a lot of time in virtual space, using high quality, 3D, immersive, computer generated environments to socialise and do business in. When technology gives you a life-size 3D image and the links to your nervous system allow you to shake hands, it’s like being in the other person’s office. It’s impossible to believe that won’t be the normal way of communicating." [br] A rollable display which can be wrapped around the arm is likely to appear in the phase of______.
选项 A、ambient intelligence
B、simplicity
C、virtual worlds
D、conscious computers
答案 A
解析 本题考查推理引申。根据最后三段关于电脑不同发展阶段的描述，可知[A]、[B]、[C]三个阶段各自的特点。第一个阶段是无所不能的芯片，文中举出了“植入皮肤的极小的芯片”和“视频文身”等例子予以说明。第二个阶段是使用简单化，即人们不必上培训班就会使用各种计算机产品。第三个阶段是虚拟空间。“柔性显示器”体现出来的特点是改变了传统的计算机显示器的样式，携带、使用都更方便，因此它应是第一个阶段可能出现的。[A]正确。[D]所指的阶段强调电脑能具有人的意识，而柔性显示器并不具有意识。
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