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The hard truth is that the path to international recognition, peace and stab

游客2025-01-05  25
问题     The hard truth is that the path to international recognition, peace and stability for Taiwan’s 22 million citizens and their democratically elected government lies only in a One China framework. However admirable the fight of self-determination, the fact is that the U.S. will not defend or support Taiwan militarily if it proclaims independence, nor would other nations likely recognize a sovereign Taiwan state.
   Taipei’s only realistic long-term hope is to establish maximum autonomy within a Chinese commonwealth or confederation. Under such conditions, Taiwan may be able to negotiate representation in a wide range of international organizations under the Olympic Gaines precedent, whereby "Chinese Taipei" participates. Beijing must be willing to permit Taiwan such latitude in the international arena, but the precondition would be Taiwan’s acceptance of the One China principle.
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答案    不可否认的事实是，为台湾两千两百万人民及其民主选举政府谋求国际承认、和平和稳定的道路只有在一个中国的框架中才能行得通。不管自决的愿望如何地令人钦佩，事实岸是一旦台湾宣布独立，美国是不会在军事上保卫或支持它的，别的国家也不可能承认台湾为主权国。
   台北唯一现实的长远希望是在一个中国联邦或邦联内建立最大限度的自治。在此条件下，台湾也许才能通过谈判争取在更广泛的国际组织中的代表权，按奥运会的模式以“中国台北”的身份参加。北京方面一定愿意允许台湾以这种身份出现在国际舞台上，但前提是台湾接受一个中国的原则。
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